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Los Angeles Edges New York In Seven In Strat-O-Matic Simulation
Edman Continues Playoff Success with .435 average, Drives in Six; Betts Hits .370, Treinen Notches Three Saves to Pace Winners
GLEN HEAD, N.Y, October 25, 2024—Tommy Edman had a series-best .435 average, hit two home runs and drove in six runs, Teoscar Hernandez plated seven and Mookie Betts had 10 hits as Los Angeles topped New York, four games to three, as Strat-O-Matic (@strat-o-matic), the market leader in sports simulation games, simulated the championship series which begins tonight.
In the decisive Game Seven, Hernandez’s single plated Betts with the go-ahead run that gave L.A. a 2-1 edge. The hosts would add another in the bottom of the sixth on a solo home run by Will Smith, and on a bullpen day, Blake Treinen pitched two perfect innings, fanning four, as the last of eight Los Angeles pitchers in the game, for his third save of the series.
Los Angeles rallied from a 3-1 series deficit, getting five-inning starts from Jack Flaherty and Yoshinobu Yamamoto in Games Five and Six to send it to the winner-take-all contest in L.A.
Betts hit .370 in the seven games with a home run and seven RBI. In the battle between probable league MVPs, New York’s Aaron Judge (.346, two home runs, three RBI) and Shohei Ohtani (.231, two HR, six RBI) were fairly even, while Giancarlo Stanton had three home runs and drove in six in the series.
Game 1
New York....... 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 - 3 6 4
Los Angeles.... 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 - 4 7 0
WP: Vesia; LP: Hill; SV: Treinen
HR: Soto, Stanton
Game 2
New York....... 0 3 2 1 4 1 0 0 2 - 13 15 0
Los Angeles.... 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 - 4 8 0
WP: Leiter; LP: Yamamoto
HR: Wells, Chisholm, Volpe, Rizzo, T. Hernandez
Game 3
Los Angeles.... 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 - 4 7 0
New York....... 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 - 5 8 0
WP: Weaver; LP: Kopech
HR: Edman, Judge
Game 4
Los Angeles.... 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 - 1 4 2
New York....... 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 - 7 7 0
WP: Gil; LP: Brasier
HR: T. Hernandez, Soto
Game 5
Los Angeles.... 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 0 0 - 5 8 0
New York....... 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 2 - 4 5 1
WP: Flaherty; LP: Cole; SV: Treinen
HR: Ohtani 2, Wells 2, Stanton
Game 6
New York....... 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 1 8 0
Los Angeles.... 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 - 7 11 0
WP: Yamamoto; LP: Rodon
HR: Stanton, Betts, Edman
Game 7
New York....... 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 1 2 0
Los Angeles.... 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 - 3 7 0
WP: Banda; LP: Schmidt; SV: Treinen
HR: Judge, Smith
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The problem with these Strat-O-Matic things is that they assume that Aaron Judge will hit like "regular season Aaron Judge" and Shohei Ohtani will hit like "regular season Shohei Ohtani", and not what is currently the "post season version" of Judge and the "World Series version" of Ohtani. And they don't account for injuries, like the one to Ohtani last night.
I'd like to see the Yankee numbers for LOB, BA RISP and GIDP, so I can properly evaluate the accuracy of the simulation. I do believe the 4 Errors in one game, but 5 total for the series, not so much.