ASG Worthy? Gerrit Cole

The Yankees will be sending 6 representatives to the 2022 Midsummer Classic. This week, we're going to see if each player is worthy to go.

The History of All-Star Selections/Voting:

Starting in 1933, outside of a few instances (1945 and 2020), the All-Star Game has been a yearly occurrence at about the halfway point during the MLB season. In the early years, the All-Star teams were quite small (18 players in 1933. 20 from 1934-1938, 25 from 1939-1981) and in recent years rules have been implemented that each MLB team must have at least one representative at the game. In 1982, the rosters were expanded to 30 active players then it moved to 32 in 2003, 33 in 2009, and has been at 34 since 2010.

Alongside roster changes and expansions, the league has also had many different solutions to how a player makes the All-Star team. In the first two years, the fans voted for the 18 starters- including the starting pitcher- while the rest of the roster was compiled by the manager. This changed from 1934-1946 where the full roster was selected by the manager of the team. In 1947 fans were allowed to vote again for the starting 8 (no pitchers)...which was then stopped after Cincinnati Reds fans "stuffed the ballot" in 1957. It then became a decision by the managers and MLB again through 1969. In 1970 fan voting came back for the starting 8, though from then until 2003, the managers solely selected the back-up players. In 2003 the players were also given a voice in the voting process for the non-starters. The final voting changes occurred from 2002 to 2018 where fans had a vote for the final player on the roster, and a new rule for 2022 (and going forward) where the commissioner of the MLB is allowed to make a "legacy selection" for the All-Star Game. (This year the selected legacy players are Albert Pujols and Miguel Cabrera.)

All-Star Flubs and Snubs:

Now, with a history that is nearly 90 years going and the many many changes to team sizes, selection processes, and even positions to vote/select for (the outfield used to be separated by specific position), there should be an expectation that there are some players who snuck their way onto the team and others who should've been slam-dunk choices.

Take 2015 for example. The Kansas City Royals rallied their troops and got shortstop Alcides Escobar elected as the starting shortstop for the All-Star Game. By that time in the season, Escobar was hitting to a respectable .290/.327/.372/.700 quadruple slash and as a glove-first player with a 98 OPS+ it was not seen as out of the picture. However, at that same point in the season Xander Bogaerts (who didn't make the team at all) was hitting to a .304/.338/.411/.750 quadruple slash. (To put it into perspective, that .050 difference in OPS is the same between 2022 Giancarlo Stanton and 2022 Eugenio Suarez.)

Also to that point, let's highlight 2022 All-Star Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and non-all-star Ty France. Vladito is hitting to a .266/.346/.483/.829 quadruple slash with 19 home runs and 54 RBI's while France is hitting to a .306/.379/.460/.840 quadruple slash with 10 home runs and 45 RBI's. Are they comparable? Yes. However, did fan voting for a Toronto Blue Jay help elevated Guerrero over a more deserving player? Also, yes.

All that being said, let's see if the 6 Yankees 2022 All-Star Game selections are worthwhile.

The 2022 Statistics of Gerrit Cole:

The lack of an All-Star Game in his first season in pinstripes kept Gerrit Cole from technically being an All-Star in every season he's been a Yankee so far. After a first Yankees All-Star Game in 2021, Cole has continued to play his way into the honor again for 2022. There isn't much to say about Cole that isn't already known. He's been one of the best pitchers in the MLB year-in and year-out for the past 5 seasons and though the New York Mets have Jacob DeGrom and Max Scherzer (both great pitchers), Cole may still be the best pitcher in New York, and he easily has been this year. At this point in the season, Gerrit Cole is hitting to the following line: (Key: Leads MLB, Leads AL Starting Pitchers)

18 Games Started, 8-2 Record (.800 Winning Percentage), 3.05 ERA (123 ERA+), 3.40 FIP, 106.1 Innings Pitched, 135 Strikeouts (11.43 K/9), 1.006 WHIP, +2.2 bWAR/+1.9 fWAR

Across qualified American League starting pitchers Gerrit Cole has the:

Tied for 1st in Games Started (with 10 other starting pitchers)
Tied for 6th in Wins (Justin Verlander leads with 11)
9th in ERA (Shane McClanahan leads with 1.71)
8th in ERA+ (Shane McClanahan leads with 209)
11th in FIP (Shane McClanahan leads with 2.40)
5th in Innings Pitched (Shane McClanahan leads with 110.2)
3rd in Strikeouts (Shane McClanahan leads with 147)
3rd in K/9 (Shane McClanahan leads with 13.09)
5th in WHIP (Shane McClanahan leads with 0.80)

So, while Gerrit Cole may not have the best ERA in the league- though, it is still Top-10- each All-Star team has 13 pitchers on the roster. By my count each also has just 3 relievers, so as long as you are a Top-10 starting pitcher in the league, by my count, it is fair to say you are a deserving player of the All-Star Game. By this logic, Gerrit Cole misses on just one metric (FIP) of which he misses by just 1 place.

To not consider Cole a deserving All-Star is to discredit what he has done this year and to have extreme anti-Yankees bias. He's a clearly deserving candidate. Easy.

So far, after looking at the three starters for the New York Yankees, they are 4 for 4 with deserving players.