Game 147: So You're Telling Me There's a Chance!?

I spent all morning crunching the numbers, and found that there is a very real, albeit very outside chance that the Yankees make the playoffs. You can see my calculations here.

New York Yankees Baltimore Orioles
Jacoby Ellsbury, DH Nick Markakis, RF
Derek Jeter, SS Alejandro De Aza, LF
Brett Gardner, CF Adam Jones, CF
Martin Prado, 2B Nelson Cruz, DH
Brian McCann, C Steve Pearce, 1B
Mark Teixeira, 1B J.J. Hardy, SS
Chris Young, LF Jimmy Paredes, 3B
Antoan Richardson, RF Ryan Flaherty, 2B
Zelous Wheeler, 3B Caleb Joseph, C
Shane Greene, SP Miguel Gonzalez, SP